Discounted Cash Flow

Siteone Landscape Supply, Inc.

SITE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.5b $-14.8m $60.5m -1.0% $2.03
2017 $1.6b (13.5%) $-91.4m (-517.6%) $64.1m (6.0%) -5.5% (-443.9%) $1.01 (-50.4%)
2018 $2.1b (28.2%) $73.9m (180.9%) $63.2m (-1.4%) 3.5% (163.1%) $1.83 (80.8%)
2019 $2.4b (11.6%) $77.7m (5.1%) $111.3m (76.1%) 3.3% (-5.8%) $1.89 (3.3%)
2020 $2.7b (14.7%) $121.3m (56.1%) $8.7m (-92.2%) 4.5% (36.1%) $2.83 (50.1%)
2021 $2.7b (0.0%) $121.3m (0.0%) $210.8m (2323.0%) 4.5% (0.0%) $2.83 (0.0%)
2022 $3.5b (28.5%) $245.4m (102.3%) $175.5m (-16.7%) 7.1% (57.4%) $5.35 (89.0%)
2023 $4.0b (15.5%) $173.4m (-29.3%) $261.5m (49.0%) 4.3% (-38.8%) $5.45 (1.9%)
2024 $4.5b (13.1%) $123.6m (-28.7%) $238.6m (-8.8%) 2.7% (-37.0%) $2.75 (-49.5%)
2025 $4.7b (3.6%) $151.8m (22.8%) $245.4m (2.8%) 3.2% (18.5%) $3.51 (27.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model