Discounted Cash Flow
J M Smucker Co.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $7.4b | $592.3m | $866.6m | 8.0% | $5.11 |
| 2018 | $7.4b (-0.5%) | $1.3b (126.0%) | $896.1m (3.4%) | 18.2% (127.1%) | $11.79 (130.7%) |
| 2019 | $7.8b (6.5%) | $514.4m (-61.6%) | $781.4m (-12.8%) | 6.6% (-63.9%) | $4.52 (-61.7%) |
| 2020 | $7.8b (-0.5%) | $779.5m (51.5%) | $985.5m (26.1%) | 10.0% (52.3%) | $6.84 (51.3%) |
| 2021 | $8.0b (2.6%) | $876.3m (12.4%) | $1.3b (27.7%) | 11.0% (9.6%) | $7.79 (13.9%) |
| 2022 | $8.0b (-0.0%) | $631.7m (-27.9%) | $718.8m (-42.9%) | 7.9% (-27.9%) | $5.84 (-25.0%) |
| 2023 | $8.5b (6.6%) | $-91.3m (-114.5%) | $717.0m (-0.3%) | -1.1% (-113.6%) | $-0.86 (-114.7%) |
| 2024 | $8.2b (-4.1%) | $744.0m (914.9%) | $642.9m (-10.3%) | 9.1% (949.8%) | $7.14 (930.2%) |
| 2025 | $8.7b (6.7%) | $-1.2b (-265.4%) | $816.6m (27.0%) | -14.1% (-255.1%) | $-11.57 (-262.0%) |
| 2026 | $9.1b (3.7%) | $-138.7m (88.7%) | $1.2b (41.6%) | -1.5% (89.1%) | $-1.30 (88.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.