Discounted Cash Flow
Skywest Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.1b | $-161.6m | $506.7m | -5.2% | $-3.14 |
| 2017 | $3.2b (2.7%) | $428.9m (365.4%) | $684.1m (35.0%) | 13.4% (358.6%) | $8.28 (363.7%) |
| 2018 | $3.2b (0.5%) | $280.4m (-34.6%) | $768.1m (12.3%) | 8.7% (-35.0%) | $5.40 (-34.8%) |
| 2019 | $3.0b (-7.8%) | $340.1m (21.3%) | $640.4m (-16.6%) | 11.4% (31.5%) | $6.68 (23.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (-28.4%) | $-8.5m (-102.5%) | $620.9m (-3.1%) | -0.4% (-103.5%) | $-0.17 (-102.5%) |
| 2021 | $2.7b (27.6%) | $111.9m (1414.3%) | $813.7m (31.1%) | 4.1% (1130.3%) | $2.22 (1405.9%) |
| 2022 | $3.0b (10.7%) | $73.0m (-34.8%) | $467.3m (-42.6%) | 2.4% (-41.1%) | $1.44 (-35.1%) |
| 2023 | $2.9b (-2.3%) | $34.3m (-52.9%) | $34.3m (-92.7%) | 1.2% (-51.8%) | $0.78 (-45.8%) |
| 2024 | $3.5b (20.2%) | $323.0m (840.4%) | $647.6m (1785.6%) | 9.2% (682.5%) | $8.02 (928.2%) |
| 2025 | $4.1b (15.0%) | $428.3m (32.6%) | $908.3m (40.3%) | 10.6% (15.3%) | $10.62 (32.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.