Discounted Cash Flow

Silgan Holdings Inc.

SLGN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.6b $153.4m $202.7m 4.2% $2.56
2017 $4.1b (13.2%) $269.7m (75.8%) $215.3m (6.3%) 6.6% (55.3%) $2.44 (-4.7%)
2018 $4.4b (8.8%) $224.0m (-16.9%) $315.5m (46.5%) 5.0% (-23.6%) $2.03 (-16.8%)
2019 $4.5b (0.9%) $193.8m (-13.5%) $276.4m (-12.4%) 4.3% (-14.3%) $1.75 (-13.8%)
2020 $4.9b (9.6%) $308.7m (59.3%) $378.3m (36.9%) 6.3% (45.3%) $2.79 (59.4%)
2021 $5.7b (15.3%) $359.1m (16.3%) $324.6m (-14.2%) 6.3% (0.8%) $3.25 (16.5%)
2022 $6.4b (12.9%) $340.8m (-5.1%) $532.7m (64.1%) 5.3% (-16.0%) $3.09 (-4.9%)
2023 $6.0b (-6.6%) $326.0m (-4.4%) $255.8m (-52.0%) 5.4% (2.4%) $3.00 (-2.9%)
2024 $5.9b (-2.2%) $276.4m (-15.2%) $459.1m (79.5%) 4.7% (-13.3%) $2.59 (-13.7%)
2025 $6.5b (10.7%) $288.4m (4.4%) $422.7m (-7.9%) 4.4% (-5.8%) $2.71 (4.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model