Discounted Cash Flow

SLM Corp.

SLM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $250.3m $-200.9m 23.2% $0.54
2017 $1.4b (33.4%) $288.9m (15.4%) $-166.9m (16.9%) 20.1% (-13.5%) $0.63 (16.7%)
2018 $1.9b (34.7%) $487.5m (68.7%) $-102.7m (38.4%) 25.2% (25.3%) $1.08 (71.4%)
2019 $2.3b (20.4%) $578.3m (18.6%) $-15.6m (84.8%) 24.8% (-1.5%) $1.31 (21.3%)
2020 $2.0b (-13.3%) $880.7m (52.3%) $-182.7m (-1067.9%) 43.6% (75.6%) $2.27 (73.3%)
2021 $1.8b (-12.1%) $1.2b (31.8%) $-49.5m (72.9%) 65.3% (49.9%) $3.67 (61.7%)
2022 $2.0b (14.3%) $469.0m (-59.6%) $5.0m (110.1%) 23.1% (-64.7%) $1.78 (-51.5%)
2023 $2.6b (27.6%) $581.4m (24.0%) $-144.6m (-2997.4%) 22.4% (-2.9%) $2.44 (37.1%)
2024 $2.6b (1.0%) $608.3m (4.6%) $-329.4m (-127.7%) 23.2% (3.6%) $2.73 (11.9%)
2025 $2.6b (0.3%) $744.8m (22.4%) $-398.6m (-21.0%) 28.4% (22.1%) $3.52 (28.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model