Discounted Cash Flow

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

SMBC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $56.3m $14.8m $7.8m 26.4% $1.99
2017 $61.5m (9.2%) $15.6m (4.7%) $22.6m (187.7%) 25.3% (-4.1%) $2.08 (4.5%)
2018 $77.2m (25.5%) $20.9m (34.6%) $28.5m (26.2%) 27.1% (7.2%) $2.40 (15.4%)
2019 $97.5m (26.3%) $28.9m (38.1%) $30.9m (8.4%) 29.7% (9.3%) $3.14 (30.8%)
2020 $107.1m (9.8%) $27.5m (-4.7%) $36.0m (16.5%) 25.7% (-13.2%) $3.00 (-4.5%)
2021 $109.5m (2.3%) $47.2m (71.3%) $48.9m (35.9%) 43.1% (67.5%) $5.22 (74.0%)
2022 $116.9m (6.8%) $47.2m (-0.0%) $62.7m (28.3%) 40.4% (-6.3%) $5.22 (0.0%)
2023 $176.4m (51.0%) $39.2m (-16.8%) $56.0m (-10.7%) 22.2% (-44.9%) $3.86 (-26.1%)
2024 $248.4m (40.8%) $50.2m (27.9%) $61.2m (9.4%) 20.2% (-9.2%) $4.42 (14.5%)
2025 $277.4m (11.7%) $58.6m (16.7%) $75.3m (23.0%) 21.1% (4.5%) $5.19 (17.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model