Discounted Cash Flow
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.2b | $72.0m | $73.4m | 3.3% | $1.50 |
| 2017 | $2.5b (12.2%) | $66.9m (-7.2%) | $-125.6m (-271.1%) | 2.7% (-17.2%) | $1.38 (-8.1%) |
| 2018 | $3.4b (35.2%) | $46.2m (-30.9%) | $82.1m (165.4%) | 1.4% (-48.9%) | $0.94 (-32.3%) |
| 2019 | $3.5b (4.2%) | $71.9m (55.8%) | $237.7m (189.7%) | 2.1% (49.6%) | $1.44 (54.0%) |
| 2020 | $3.3b (-4.6%) | $84.3m (17.2%) | $-74.7m (-131.4%) | 2.5% (22.9%) | $1.65 (14.8%) |
| 2021 | $3.6b (6.5%) | $111.9m (32.7%) | $64.9m (187.0%) | 3.1% (24.5%) | $2.19 (32.2%) |
| 2022 | $5.2b (46.1%) | $285.2m (154.9%) | $-486.0m (-848.4%) | 5.5% (74.5%) | $5.54 (153.3%) |
| 2023 | $7.1b (37.1%) | $640.0m (124.4%) | $626.8m (229.0%) | 9.0% (63.7%) | $12.09 (118.3%) |
| 2024 | $15.0b (110.4%) | $1.2b (80.1%) | $-2.6b (-516.4%) | 7.7% (-14.4%) | $2.07 (-82.9%) |
| 2025 | $22.0b (46.6%) | $1.0b (-9.0%) | $1.6b (161.4%) | 4.8% (-37.9%) | $1.77 (-14.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.