Discounted Cash Flow
Scotts Miracle-gro Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.8b | $315.3m | $179.1m | 11.1% | $5.16 |
| 2017 | $2.6b (-6.8%) | $218.3m (-30.8%) | $284.4m (58.8%) | 8.3% (-25.7%) | $3.68 (-28.7%) |
| 2018 | $2.7b (0.8%) | $63.7m (-70.8%) | $274.3m (-3.6%) | 2.4% (-71.1%) | $1.13 (-69.3%) |
| 2019 | $3.2b (18.5%) | $460.7m (623.2%) | $184.4m (-32.8%) | 14.6% (510.3%) | $8.30 (634.5%) |
| 2020 | $4.1b (30.9%) | $387.4m (-15.9%) | $495.3m (168.6%) | 9.4% (-35.8%) | $6.96 (-16.1%) |
| 2021 | $4.9b (19.2%) | $512.5m (32.3%) | $164.6m (-66.8%) | 10.4% (11.0%) | $9.20 (32.2%) |
| 2022 | $3.9b (-20.3%) | $-437.5m (-185.4%) | $-242.5m (-247.3%) | -11.1% (-207.1%) | $-7.88 (-185.7%) |
| 2023 | $3.6b (-9.5%) | $-380.1m (13.1%) | $438.2m (280.7%) | -10.7% (4.0%) | $-6.79 (13.8%) |
| 2024 | $3.6b (0.0%) | $-34.9m (90.8%) | $583.5m (33.2%) | -1.0% (90.8%) | $-0.61 (91.0%) |
| 2025 | $3.4b (-3.9%) | $145.2m (516.0%) | $273.9m (-53.1%) | 4.3% (533.1%) | $2.52 (513.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.