Discounted Cash Flow
Standard Motor Products, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.1b | $60.4m | $76.9m | 5.7% | $2.66 |
| 2017 | $1.1b (5.4%) | $38.0m (-37.2%) | $40.2m (-47.7%) | 3.4% (-40.4%) | $1.67 (-37.2%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (-2.2%) | $43.0m (13.2%) | $50.1m (24.7%) | 3.9% (15.7%) | $1.91 (14.4%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (4.2%) | $57.9m (34.7%) | $60.7m (21.2%) | 5.1% (29.3%) | $2.59 (35.6%) |
| 2020 | $1.1b (-0.8%) | $57.4m (-0.9%) | $80.1m (31.8%) | 5.1% (-0.1%) | $2.57 (-0.8%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (15.1%) | $90.9m (58.4%) | $59.7m (-25.5%) | 7.0% (37.6%) | $4.10 (59.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.4b (5.6%) | $55.4m (-39.1%) | $-53.5m (-189.6%) | 4.0% (-42.3%) | $2.55 (-37.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (-1.0%) | $34.1m (-38.3%) | $115.6m (316.2%) | 2.5% (-37.7%) | $1.57 (-38.4%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (7.8%) | $27.5m (-19.5%) | $32.7m (-71.7%) | 1.9% (-25.3%) | $1.26 (-19.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.8b (22.4%) | $41.3m (50.3%) | $18.7m (-42.7%) | 2.3% (22.8%) | $1.88 (49.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.