Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Good Foods Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $339.8m | $-2.5m | $21.4m | -0.7% | — |
| 2018 | $431.4m (27.0%) | $70.5m (2935.2%) | $59.3m (176.4%) | 16.3% (2333.3%) | $1.00 |
| 2019 | $523.4m (21.3%) | $47.5m (-32.5%) | $72.0m (21.5%) | 9.1% (-44.4%) | $0.59 (-41.0%) |
| 2020 | $816.6m (56.0%) | $34.7m (-27.0%) | $57.2m (-20.6%) | 4.2% (-53.2%) | $0.37 (-37.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.0b (23.1%) | $40.9m (17.8%) | $126.2m (120.6%) | 4.1% (-4.3%) | $0.43 (15.6%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (16.2%) | $108.6m (165.6%) | $105.4m (-16.5%) | 9.3% (128.5%) | $1.10 (157.5%) |
| 2023 | $1.2b (6.3%) | $133.6m (23.0%) | $159.5m (51.3%) | 10.7% (15.7%) | $1.34 (22.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (7.1%) | $139.3m (4.3%) | $210.0m (31.6%) | 10.5% (-2.7%) | $1.39 (3.8%) |
| 2025 | $1.5b (9.0%) | $103.6m (-25.6%) | $157.9m (-24.8%) | 7.1% (-31.8%) | $1.03 (-26.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.