Discounted Cash Flow
Sleep Number Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.3b | $51.4m | $114.8m | 3.9% | $1.11 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (10.2%) | $65.1m (26.6%) | $71.7m (-37.5%) | 4.5% (14.9%) | $1.58 (42.3%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (6.0%) | $69.5m (6.9%) | $143.6m (100.3%) | 4.5% (0.8%) | $1.97 (24.7%) |
| 2019 | $1.7b (10.9%) | $81.8m (17.7%) | $129.9m (-9.6%) | 4.8% (6.1%) | $2.78 (41.1%) |
| 2020 | $1.9b (9.3%) | $139.2m (70.1%) | $242.6m (86.7%) | 7.5% (55.6%) | $5.03 (80.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (13.9%) | $36.6m (-73.7%) | $262.9m (8.4%) | 1.7% (-76.9%) | $5.03 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (0.0%) | $36.6m (0.0%) | $-78.5m (-129.9%) | 1.7% (0.0%) | $1.63 (-67.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.9b (-10.7%) | $-15.3m (-141.8%) | $-29.9m (61.9%) | -0.8% (-146.8%) | $-0.68 (-141.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.7b (-10.9%) | $-20.3m (-33.0%) | $3.6m (112.2%) | -1.2% (-49.2%) | $-0.90 (-32.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (-16.1%) | $-132.0m (-549.0%) | $-17.7m (-586.3%) | -9.3% (-673.5%) | $-5.77 (-541.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.