Discounted Cash Flow
Smart Sand, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $59.2m | $10.4m | $24.2m | 17.5% | $0.43 |
| 2017 | $137.2m (131.7%) | $21.5m (107.4%) | $-35.5m (-246.9%) | 15.7% (-10.5%) | $0.54 (25.6%) |
| 2018 | $212.5m (54.8%) | $18.7m (-13.2%) | $-45.2m (-27.1%) | 8.8% (-43.9%) | $0.46 (-14.8%) |
| 2019 | $233.1m (9.7%) | $31.6m (69.2%) | $19.1m (142.3%) | 13.6% (54.3%) | $0.79 (71.7%) |
| 2020 | $122.3m (-47.5%) | $38.0m (20.0%) | $16.9m (-11.4%) | 31.0% (128.7%) | $0.94 (19.0%) |
| 2021 | $126.6m (3.5%) | $-50.7m (-233.5%) | $21.2m (25.4%) | -40.0% (-229.0%) | $-1.21 (-228.7%) |
| 2022 | $255.7m (101.9%) | $-703.0k (98.6%) | $-7.3m (-134.5%) | -0.3% (99.3%) | $-0.02 (98.3%) |
| 2023 | $296.0m (15.7%) | $4.6m (761.3%) | $8.0m (208.9%) | 1.6% (671.4%) | $0.12 (700.0%) |
| 2024 | $311.4m (5.2%) | $3.0m (-35.6%) | $10.9m (36.4%) | 1.0% (-38.8%) | $0.08 (-33.3%) |
| 2025 | $330.2m (6.0%) | $1.3m (-55.0%) | $32.5m (199.6%) | 0.4% (-57.6%) | $0.03 (-62.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.