Discounted Cash Flow
Security National Financial Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $304.3m | $12.2m | $32.0m | 4.0% | $0.82 |
| 2017 | $276.9m (-9.0%) | $14.1m (15.8%) | $43.4m (35.8%) | 5.1% (27.2%) | $0.88 (7.3%) |
| 2018 | $279.6m (1.0%) | $21.7m (53.7%) | $5.7m (-86.8%) | 7.8% (52.2%) | $1.27 (44.3%) |
| 2019 | $283.1m (1.2%) | $10.9m (-49.8%) | $-1.6m (-127.7%) | 3.8% (-50.4%) | $0.60 (-52.8%) |
| 2020 | $481.5m (70.1%) | $55.6m (410.4%) | $-131.3m (-8173.3%) | 11.5% (200.1%) | $2.95 (391.7%) |
| 2021 | $470.7m (-2.2%) | $39.5m (-28.9%) | $139.4m (206.2%) | 8.4% (-27.3%) | $1.96 (-33.6%) |
| 2022 | $389.7m (-17.2%) | $25.7m (-35.0%) | $128.9m (-7.6%) | 6.6% (-21.5%) | $1.22 (-37.8%) |
| 2023 | $318.5m (-18.3%) | $14.5m (-43.6%) | $52.8m (-59.0%) | 4.6% (-31.0%) | $0.66 (-45.9%) |
| 2024 | $334.5m (5.0%) | $26.5m (83.1%) | $54.8m (4.0%) | 7.9% (74.3%) | $1.14 (72.7%) |
| 2025 | $344.6m (3.0%) | $32.2m (21.2%) | $43.8m (-20.1%) | 9.3% (17.6%) | $1.30 (14.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.