Discounted Cash Flow
Simon Property Group Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.4b | $1.8b | $3.3b | 33.8% | $5.87 |
| 2017 | $5.5b (1.9%) | $1.9b (5.9%) | $3.6b (7.0%) | 35.1% (4.0%) | $6.24 (6.3%) |
| 2018 | $5.7b (2.2%) | $2.4b (25.3%) | $3.7b (4.5%) | 43.1% (22.7%) | $7.87 (26.1%) |
| 2019 | $5.8b (1.7%) | $2.1b (-13.9%) | $3.4b (-7.9%) | 36.5% (-15.3%) | $6.81 (-13.5%) |
| 2020 | $4.6b (-19.9%) | $1.1b (-47.1%) | $2.3b (-33.2%) | 24.1% (-34.0%) | $3.59 (-47.3%) |
| 2021 | $5.1b (11.1%) | $2.2b (102.5%) | $3.6b (57.1%) | 43.9% (82.4%) | $6.84 (90.5%) |
| 2022 | $5.3b (3.4%) | $2.1b (-4.9%) | $3.7b (2.7%) | 40.4% (-8.0%) | $6.52 (-4.7%) |
| 2023 | $5.7b (6.9%) | $2.3b (6.7%) | $3.9b (5.4%) | 40.3% (-0.2%) | $6.98 (7.1%) |
| 2024 | $6.0b (5.4%) | $2.4b (3.8%) | $3.6b (-8.4%) | 39.7% (-1.5%) | $7.26 (4.0%) |
| 2025 | $6.4b (6.7%) | $4.6b (95.3%) | $4.1b (14.4%) | 72.7% (83.0%) | $14.17 (95.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.