Discounted Cash Flow
Suburban Propane Partners L.P. LP
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.0b | $14.4m | $118.7m | 1.4% | $0.24 |
| 2017 | $1.2b (13.6%) | $38.0m (163.1%) | $132.2m (11.3%) | 3.2% (131.7%) | $0.62 (158.3%) |
| 2018 | $1.3b (13.2%) | $76.5m (101.4%) | $175.6m (32.9%) | 5.7% (78.0%) | $1.24 (100.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (-5.7%) | $68.6m (-10.3%) | $191.8m (9.2%) | 5.4% (-4.9%) | $1.11 (-10.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.1b (-12.6%) | $60.8m (-11.5%) | $176.9m (-7.8%) | 5.5% (1.3%) | $0.98 (-11.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (16.3%) | $122.8m (102.1%) | $196.7m (11.2%) | 9.5% (73.7%) | $1.96 (100.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (16.5%) | $139.7m (13.8%) | $176.2m (-10.4%) | 9.3% (-2.3%) | $2.21 (12.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (-4.8%) | $123.8m (-11.4%) | $180.3m (2.3%) | 8.7% (-6.9%) | $1.94 (-12.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (-7.1%) | $74.2m (-40.1%) | $101.2m (-43.9%) | 5.6% (-35.5%) | $1.15 (-40.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (7.9%) | $106.6m (43.7%) | $114.3m (13.0%) | 7.4% (33.1%) | $1.64 (42.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.