Discounted Cash Flow

Siriuspoint Ltd.

SPNT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $689.0m $27.6m $4.8m 4.0% $0.26
2017 $939.0m (36.3%) $277.8m (905.2%) $-78.5m (-1746.1%) 29.6% (637.6%) $2.71 (942.3%)
2018 $370.0m (-60.6%) $-317.7m (-214.4%) $13.4m (117.0%) -85.9% (-390.2%) $-3.27 (-220.7%)
2019 $982.7m (165.6%) $200.6m (163.1%) $141.1m (954.1%) 20.4% (123.8%) $2.18 (166.7%)
2020 $889.8m (-9.5%) $143.5m (-28.5%) $73.4m (-48.0%) 16.1% (-21.0%) $1.54 (-29.4%)
2021 $2.2b (145.1%) $58.1m (-59.5%) $58.1m (-20.8%) 2.7% (-83.5%) $0.28 (-81.8%)
2022 $2.1b (-3.4%) $-386.8m (-765.7%) $-386.8m (-765.7%) -18.4% (-789.5%) $-2.51 (-996.4%)
2023 $2.7b (30.0%) $354.8m (191.7%) $354.8m (191.7%) 13.0% (170.6%) $1.93 (176.9%)
2024 $2.6b (-4.9%) $199.9m (-43.7%) $74.7m (-78.9%) 7.7% (-40.8%) $1.06 (-45.1%)
2025 $3.2b (23.1%) $459.6m (129.9%) $102.4m (37.1%) 14.3% (86.8%) $3.80 (258.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model