Discounted Cash Flow
SPS Commerce Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $193.3m | $5.7m | $10.8m | 3.0% | $0.34 |
| 2017 | $220.6m (14.1%) | $-2.4m (-142.7%) | $23.8m (121.1%) | -1.1% (-137.4%) | $-0.14 (-141.2%) |
| 2018 | $248.2m (12.5%) | $23.9m (1078.4%) | $41.3m (73.5%) | 9.6% (969.3%) | $1.39 (1092.9%) |
| 2019 | $279.1m (12.4%) | $33.7m (41.2%) | $58.2m (41.1%) | 12.1% (25.6%) | $0.96 (-30.9%) |
| 2020 | $312.6m (12.0%) | $45.6m (35.2%) | $72.1m (23.9%) | 14.6% (20.7%) | $1.29 (34.4%) |
| 2021 | $385.3m (23.2%) | $44.6m (-2.2%) | $93.3m (29.4%) | 11.6% (-20.6%) | $1.24 (-3.9%) |
| 2022 | $450.9m (17.0%) | $55.1m (23.6%) | $80.2m (-14.1%) | 12.2% (5.6%) | $1.53 (23.4%) |
| 2023 | $536.9m (19.1%) | $65.8m (19.4%) | $112.5m (40.4%) | 12.3% (0.3%) | $1.80 (17.6%) |
| 2024 | $637.8m (18.8%) | $77.1m (17.1%) | $137.4m (22.1%) | 12.1% (-1.5%) | $2.07 (15.0%) |
| 2025 | $751.5m (17.8%) | $93.3m (21.1%) | $152.3m (10.9%) | 12.4% (2.8%) | $2.46 (18.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.