Discounted Cash Flow
1ST Source Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $191.8m | $57.8m | $89.1m | 30.1% | $2.22 |
| 2017 | $212.4m (10.8%) | $68.1m (17.8%) | $111.8m (25.5%) | 32.0% (6.3%) | $2.60 (17.1%) |
| 2018 | $257.3m (21.2%) | $82.4m (21.1%) | $141.3m (26.4%) | 32.0% (-0.0%) | $3.16 (21.5%) |
| 2019 | $282.9m (9.9%) | $92.0m (11.6%) | $156.6m (10.8%) | 32.5% (1.5%) | $3.57 (13.0%) |
| 2020 | $263.0m (-7.0%) | $81.4m (-11.4%) | $151.6m (-3.1%) | 31.0% (-4.8%) | $3.17 (-11.2%) |
| 2021 | $254.8m (-3.1%) | $118.5m (45.6%) | $163.9m (8.1%) | 46.5% (50.3%) | $4.70 (48.3%) |
| 2022 | $293.8m (15.3%) | $120.5m (1.7%) | $173.2m (5.7%) | 41.0% (-11.8%) | $4.84 (3.0%) |
| 2023 | $416.9m (41.9%) | $124.9m (3.7%) | $182.0m (5.1%) | 30.0% (-26.9%) | $5.03 (3.9%) |
| 2024 | $484.0m (16.1%) | $132.6m (6.2%) | $181.5m (-0.3%) | 27.4% (-8.6%) | $5.36 (6.6%) |
| 2025 | $514.4m (6.3%) | $158.3m (19.3%) | $213.0m (17.4%) | 30.8% (12.3%) | $6.41 (19.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.