Discounted Cash Flow
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $860.7m | $89.7m | $52.9m | 10.4% | $1.87 |
| 2017 | $977.0m (13.5%) | $92.6m (3.2%) | $61.0m (15.3%) | 9.5% (-9.1%) | $1.95 (4.3%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (10.4%) | $126.6m (36.7%) | $130.8m (114.3%) | 11.7% (23.8%) | $2.74 (40.5%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (5.4%) | $134.0m (5.8%) | $173.0m (32.3%) | 11.8% (0.4%) | $3.00 (9.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.3b (11.6%) | $187.0m (39.6%) | $169.7m (-1.9%) | 14.7% (25.1%) | $4.28 (42.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (24.1%) | $266.4m (42.5%) | $107.6m (-36.6%) | 16.9% (14.8%) | $6.15 (43.7%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (34.5%) | $334.0m (25.4%) | $337.5m (213.7%) | 15.8% (-6.8%) | $7.78 (26.5%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (4.6%) | $354.0m (6.0%) | $338.2m (0.2%) | 16.0% (1.3%) | $8.31 (6.8%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (0.8%) | $322.2m (-9.0%) | $157.8m (-53.3%) | 14.4% (-9.7%) | $7.64 (-8.1%) |
| 2025 | $2.3b (4.5%) | $345.1m (7.1%) | $297.6m (88.6%) | 14.8% (2.5%) | $8.27 (8.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.