Discounted Cash Flow
Sunlands Technology Group ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $418.9m | $-37.6m | $13.3m | -9.0% | $-66.40 |
| 2017 | $970.2m (131.6%) | $-20.2k (99.9%) | $62.6m (372.0%) | -0.0% (100.0%) | $-232.80 (-250.6%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (104.3%) | $10.7k (152.9%) | $15.6m (-75.0%) | 0.0% (125.9%) | $-147.27 (36.7%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (11.0%) | $-51.7k (-583.3%) | $-79.7m (-610.4%) | -0.0% (-535.4%) | $-57.81 (60.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.2b (0.2%) | $-66.2k (-28.2%) | $-28.3m (64.5%) | -0.0% (-28.0%) | $-63.74 (-10.3%) |
| 2021 | $2.5b (13.9%) | $-993.3k (-1400.0%) | $-55.7m (-97.0%) | -0.0% (-1217.1%) | $32.56 (151.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (-7.2%) | $-141.0k (85.8%) | $1.3m (102.3%) | -0.0% (84.7%) | $13.65 (-58.1%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (-7.1%) | $148 (100.1%) | $20.8m (1513.9%) | 0.0% (100.1%) | $13.08 (-4.2%) |
| 2024 | $2.0b (-7.8%) | $0 (-100.0%) | $29.0m (39.6%) | 0.0% (-100.0%) | $6.87 (-47.5%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (1.5%) | $0 | $21.8m (-24.9%) | 0.0% | $7.76 (13.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.