Discounted Cash Flow

Stagwell Inc.

STGW · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $-45.8m $-30.6m $-0.89
2017 $241.8m (627.6%) $82.3m (368.7%) $3.72 (518.0%)
2018 $1.5b $-123.7m (-151.2%) $-3.0m (-103.6%) -8.4% $-2.31 (-162.1%)
2019 $1.4b (-4.1%) $-4.7m (96.2%) $67.9m (2376.9%) -0.3% (96.0%) $-0.25 (89.2%)
2020 $1.2b (-15.3%) $-229.0m (-4782.1%) $8.2m (-87.9%) -19.1% (-5664.8%) $-3.34 (-1236.0%)
2021 $1.5b (22.5%) $21.0m (109.2%) $178.2m (2060.6%) 1.4% (107.5%) $-0.04 (98.8%)
2022 $2.7b (82.9%) $27.3m (29.6%) $27.3m (-84.7%) 1.0% (-29.1%) $0.22 (650.0%)
2023 $2.5b (-6.0%) $134.0k (-99.5%) $66.8m (144.9%) 0.0% (-99.5%) $0.00 (-100.0%)
2024 $2.8b (12.4%) $2.3m (1585.8%) $123.9m (85.6%) 0.1% (1399.5%) $0.02
2025 $2.9b (2.4%) $29.1m (1188.2%) $247.3m (99.5%) 1.0% (1158.2%) $0.13 (550.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model