Discounted Cash Flow
Steel Dynamics Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.8b | $382.1m | $654.6m | 4.9% | $1.57 |
| 2017 | $9.5b (22.7%) | $812.7m (112.7%) | $574.7m (-12.2%) | 8.5% (73.4%) | $3.38 (115.3%) |
| 2018 | $11.8b (23.7%) | $1.3b (54.8%) | $1.2b (104.7%) | 10.7% (25.1%) | $5.38 (59.2%) |
| 2019 | $10.5b (-11.4%) | $671.1m (-46.7%) | $944.3m (-19.7%) | 6.4% (-39.8%) | $3.06 (-43.1%) |
| 2020 | $9.6b (-8.3%) | $550.8m (-17.9%) | $-211.0m (-122.3%) | 5.7% (-10.5%) | $2.61 (-14.7%) |
| 2021 | $18.4b (91.7%) | $3.2b (483.5%) | $1.2b (667.7%) | 17.5% (204.4%) | $15.67 (500.4%) |
| 2022 | $21.5b (16.8%) | $3.9b (20.2%) | $3.6b (196.5%) | 18.0% (2.9%) | $21.06 (34.4%) |
| 2023 | $18.8b (-12.5%) | $2.5b (-36.5%) | $1.9b (-47.6%) | 13.0% (-27.5%) | $14.72 (-30.1%) |
| 2024 | $17.5b (-6.7%) | $1.5b (-37.3%) | $-23.5m (-101.3%) | 8.8% (-32.8%) | $9.89 (-32.8%) |
| 2025 | $18.2b (3.6%) | $1.2b (-22.9%) | $501.5m (2233.8%) | 6.5% (-25.6%) | $8.02 (-18.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.