Discounted Cash Flow

Stantec Inc. Foreign

STN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.3b $180.8m $267.5m 4.2% $1.22
2017 $5.1b (19.5%) $263.5m (45.7%) $249.3m (-6.8%) 5.1% (21.9%) $0.85 (-30.3%)
2018 $4.3b (-16.7%) $226.3m (-14.1%) $97.9m (-60.7%) 5.3% (3.0%) $0.42 (-50.6%)
2019 $4.8b (12.7%) $265.5m (17.3%) $411.3m (320.1%) 5.5% (4.1%) $1.74 (314.3%)
2020 $3.7b (-23.7%) $216.7m (-18.4%) $523.5m (27.3%) 5.9% (6.9%) $1.53 (-12.1%)
2021 $3.6b (-1.3%) $263.0m (21.4%) $346.3m (-33.8%) 7.2% (23.0%) $1.80 (17.6%)
2022 $4.5b (22.6%) $325.1m (23.6%) $239.0m (-31.0%) 7.3% (0.8%) $2.23 (23.9%)
2023 $5.1b (13.7%) $427.2m (31.4%) $534.7m (123.7%) 8.4% (15.6%) $2.98 (33.6%)
2024 $5.9b (15.8%) $465.3m (8.9%) $504.1m (-5.7%) 7.9% (-5.9%) $3.17 (6.4%)
2025 $6.5b (10.7%) $630.0m (35.4%) $791.0m (56.9%) 9.7% (22.3%) $4.20 (32.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model