Discounted Cash Flow
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $690.1m | $-9.2m | $33.6m | -1.3% | $-0.40 |
| 2017 | $958.0m (38.8%) | $11.6m (225.8%) | $13.6m (-59.6%) | 1.2% (190.6%) | $0.44 (210.0%) |
| 2018 | $1.0b (8.3%) | $25.2m (116.8%) | $26.3m (93.6%) | 2.4% (100.2%) | $0.94 (113.6%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (8.5%) | $39.9m (58.4%) | $25.7m (-2.3%) | 3.5% (46.0%) | $1.50 (59.6%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (26.7%) | $42.3m (6.0%) | $86.4m (236.3%) | 3.0% (-16.3%) | $1.52 (1.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (10.8%) | $62.6m (48.1%) | $104.9m (21.4%) | 4.0% (33.6%) | $2.19 (44.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.8b (11.9%) | $106.5m (69.9%) | $158.2m (50.8%) | 6.0% (51.9%) | $3.53 (61.2%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (11.5%) | $138.7m (30.2%) | $414.2m (161.8%) | 7.0% (16.8%) | $4.51 (27.8%) |
| 2024 | $2.1b (7.3%) | $257.5m (85.7%) | $416.1m (0.5%) | 12.2% (73.1%) | $8.35 (85.1%) |
| 2025 | $2.5b (17.7%) | $290.2m (12.7%) | $362.7m (-12.8%) | 11.7% (-4.2%) | $9.50 (13.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.