Discounted Cash Flow
Strattec Security Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $401.4m | $9.1m | $-15.3m | 2.3% | $2.55 |
| 2017 | $417.3m (4.0%) | $7.2m (-21.3%) | $-13.9m (9.2%) | 1.7% (-24.3%) | $2.01 (-21.2%) |
| 2018 | $439.2m (5.2%) | $12.3m (70.7%) | $-17.2m (-24.0%) | 2.8% (62.2%) | $3.39 (68.7%) |
| 2019 | $487.0m (10.9%) | $-17.0m (-238.6%) | $12.5m (172.6%) | -3.5% (-225.0%) | $-4.63 (-236.6%) |
| 2020 | $385.3m (-20.9%) | $-7.6m (55.3%) | $13.0m (4.4%) | -2.0% (43.6%) | $-2.04 (55.9%) |
| 2021 | $485.3m (26.0%) | $22.5m (396.3%) | $26.2m (101.0%) | 4.6% (335.2%) | $5.95 (391.7%) |
| 2022 | $452.3m (-6.8%) | $7.0m (-68.8%) | $-3.8m (-114.3%) | 1.6% (-66.5%) | $1.82 (-69.4%) |
| 2023 | $492.9m (9.0%) | $-6.7m (-194.9%) | $-7.3m (-93.9%) | -1.4% (-187.0%) | $-1.70 (-193.4%) |
| 2024 | $537.8m (9.1%) | $16.3m (344.6%) | $2.5m (134.0%) | 3.0% (324.2%) | $4.10 (341.2%) |
| 2025 | $565.1m (5.1%) | $18.7m (14.5%) | $64.5m (2504.8%) | 3.3% (9.0%) | $4.64 (13.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.