Discounted Cash Flow

Seagate Technology Holdings Plc.

STX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — loss_in_2023

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $11.2b $248.0m $1.1b 2.2% $0.83
2017 $10.8b (-3.5%) $772.0m (211.3%) $1.5b (35.6%) 7.2% (222.5%) $2.61 (214.5%)
2018 $11.2b (3.8%) $1.2b (53.1%) $1.7b (17.9%) 10.6% (47.5%) $4.10 (57.1%)
2019 $10.4b (-7.1%) $2.0b (70.2%) $1.2b (-33.7%) 19.4% (83.2%) $7.13 (73.9%)
2020 $10.5b (1.1%) $1.0b (-50.1%) $1.1b (-2.6%) 9.6% (-50.7%) $3.83 (-46.3%)
2021 $10.7b (1.6%) $1.3b (30.9%) $1.1b (-0.1%) 12.3% (28.8%) $5.43 (41.8%)
2022 $11.7b (9.2%) $1.6b (25.5%) $1.3b (13.1%) 14.1% (14.9%) $7.50 (38.1%)
2023 $7.4b (-36.7%) $-529.0m (-132.1%) $626.0m (-50.9%) -7.2% (-150.7%) $-2.56 (-134.1%)
2024 $6.6b (-11.3%) $335.0m (163.3%) $664.0m (6.1%) 5.1% (171.4%) $1.60 (162.5%)
2025 $9.1b (38.9%) $1.5b (338.5%) $818.0m (23.2%) 16.1% (215.8%) $6.93 (333.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

loss_in_2023

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.