Discounted Cash Flow

Sunoco L.P. LP

SUN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $8.3b $-406.0m $122.0m -4.9%
2017 $11.7b (41.3%) $149.0m (136.7%) $33.0m (-73.0%) 1.3% (126.0%)
2018 $17.0b (45.0%) $-207.0m (-238.9%) $-587.0m (-1878.8%) -1.2% (-195.8%)
2019 $16.6b (-2.3%) $313.0m (251.2%) $-148.0m (74.8%) 1.9% (254.8%)
2020 $10.7b (-35.5%) $212.0m (-32.3%) $378.0m (355.4%) 2.0% (5.0%)
2021 $17.6b (64.3%) $524.0m (147.2%) $386.0m (2.1%) 3.0% (50.4%)
2022 $25.7b (46.2%) $475.0m (-9.4%) $375.0m (-2.8%) 1.8% (-38.0%)
2023 $23.1b (-10.3%) $394.0m (-17.1%) $385.0m (2.7%) 1.7% (-7.5%)
2024 $22.7b (-1.6%) $866.0m (119.8%) $205.0m (-46.8%) 3.8% (123.4%)
2025 $25.2b (11.1%) $527.0m (-39.1%) $615.0m (200.0%) 2.1% (-45.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model