Discounted Cash Flow
Service Properties Trust REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.0b | $223.1m | $532.5m | 10.9% | — |
| 2017 | $2.2b (6.1%) | $215.1m (-3.6%) | $554.2m (4.1%) | 9.9% (-9.1%) | — |
| 2018 | $2.3b (5.6%) | $185.7m (-13.7%) | $597.0m (7.7%) | 8.1% (-18.3%) | — |
| 2019 | $2.3b (0.9%) | $259.8m (39.9%) | $617.7m (3.5%) | 11.2% (38.5%) | $1.58 |
| 2020 | $875.1m (-62.2%) | $-311.4m (-219.9%) | $37.6m (-93.9%) | -35.6% (-417.3%) | $-1.89 (-219.6%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (26.2%) | $-544.6m (-74.9%) | $49.9m (32.7%) | -49.3% (-38.6%) | $-3.31 (-75.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (32.8%) | $-132.4m (75.7%) | $243.1m (387.2%) | -9.0% (81.7%) | $-0.80 (75.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.5b (0.7%) | $-32.8m (75.2%) | $-32.8m (-113.5%) | -2.2% (75.4%) | $-0.20 (75.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (1.3%) | $-275.5m (-740.6%) | $139.4m (525.2%) | -18.4% (-730.1%) | $-1.67 (-735.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (-5.6%) | $-202.3m (26.6%) | $117.8m (-15.5%) | -14.3% (22.2%) | $-1.22 (26.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.