Discounted Cash Flow
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $903.2m | $127.9m | $88.7m | 14.2% | $2.29 |
| 2018 | $606.9m (-32.8%) | $20.1m (-84.3%) | $43.2m (-51.3%) | 3.3% (-76.6%) | $0.37 (-83.8%) |
| 2019 | $638.3m (5.2%) | $18.4m (-8.5%) | $23.5m (-45.5%) | 2.9% (-13.0%) | $0.34 (-8.1%) |
| 2020 | $678.4m (6.3%) | $-61.2m (-432.6%) | $81.0m (244.8%) | -9.0% (-412.9%) | $-1.11 (-426.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (56.1%) | $252.0m (511.6%) | $293.3m (261.9%) | 23.8% (363.6%) | $4.62 (516.2%) |
| 2022 | $864.1m (-18.4%) | $194.5m (-22.8%) | $113.8m (-61.2%) | 22.5% (-5.4%) | $4.12 (-10.8%) |
| 2023 | $479.2m (-44.5%) | $36.9m (-81.0%) | $-72.8m (-164.0%) | 7.7% (-65.8%) | $0.80 (-80.6%) |
| 2024 | $535.8m (11.8%) | $39.6m (7.4%) | $16.0m (121.9%) | 7.4% (-3.9%) | $0.86 (7.5%) |
| 2025 | $474.7m (-11.4%) | $13.4m (-66.1%) | $-28.8m (-280.4%) | 2.8% (-61.7%) | $0.30 (-65.1%) |
| 2026 | $523.8m (10.4%) | $18.5m (37.7%) | $90.4m (413.7%) | 3.5% (24.7%) | $0.42 (40.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.