Discounted Cash Flow

Synchrony Financial

SYF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $14.8b $2.3b $6.8b 15.2% $2.71
2017 $16.4b (11.0%) $1.9b (-14.0%) $8.9b (30.7%) 11.8% (-22.6%) $2.43 (-10.3%)
2018 $18.0b (9.6%) $2.8b (44.2%) $9.3b (4.8%) 15.5% (31.5%) $3.76 (54.7%)
2019 $19.1b (6.1%) $3.7b (34.3%) $9.0b (-3.8%) 19.6% (26.5%) $5.59 (48.7%)
2020 $16.1b (-15.8%) $1.4b (-63.0%) $7.5b (-16.7%) 8.6% (-56.1%) $2.28 (-59.2%)
2021 $15.3b (-5.0%) $4.2b (204.8%) $7.1b (-5.2%) 27.6% (220.7%) $7.40 (224.6%)
2022 $17.1b (12.3%) $3.0b (-28.5%) $6.7b (-5.7%) 17.6% (-36.4%) $6.19 (-16.4%)
2023 $20.7b (20.8%) $2.2b (-25.8%) $8.6b (28.4%) 10.8% (-38.6%) $5.21 (-15.8%)
2024 $22.6b (9.3%) $3.5b (56.3%) $9.8b (14.6%) 15.5% (43.0%) $8.64 (65.8%)
2025 $22.6b (-0.2%) $3.6b (1.5%) $9.9b (0.0%) 15.7% (1.7%) $9.38 (8.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model