Discounted Cash Flow
Trip.com Group Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.9b | $-30.6m | $98.1m | -1.1% | — |
| 2017 | $4.1b (45.5%) | $48.9m (259.8%) | $150.6m (53.4%) | 1.2% (209.8%) | — |
| 2018 | $4.5b (8.6%) | $24.1m (-50.8%) | $139.3m (-7.5%) | 0.5% (-54.7%) | — |
| 2019 | $5.1b (13.7%) | $149.4m (521.0%) | $139.1m (-0.1%) | 2.9% (446.1%) | — |
| 2020 | $2.8b (-45.2%) | $-73.8m (-149.4%) | $-99.3m (-171.4%) | -2.6% (-190.1%) | — |
| 2021 | $3.1b (11.9%) | $-12.8m (82.7%) | $44.4m (144.7%) | -0.4% (84.5%) | — |
| 2022 | $2.9b (-7.5%) | $30.6m (339.5%) | $30.6m (-31.1%) | 1.1% (358.9%) | — |
| 2023 | $44.6b (1432.9%) | $207.4m (578.2%) | $207.4m (578.2%) | 0.5% (-55.8%) | — |
| 2024 | $53.4b (19.8%) | $347.1m (67.4%) | $2.9b (1299.0%) | 0.7% (39.7%) | — |
| 2025 | $62.5b (17.1%) | $707.0m (103.7%) | $2.1b (-27.0%) | 1.1% (73.9%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.