Discounted Cash Flow
Triumph Financial, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $112.4m | $20.7m | $26.7m | 18.4% | $1.11 |
| 2017 | $155.7m (38.6%) | $36.2m (75.0%) | $39.3m (47.5%) | 23.3% (26.3%) | $1.85 (66.7%) |
| 2018 | $227.1m (45.8%) | $51.7m (42.8%) | $55.1m (40.0%) | 22.8% (-2.1%) | $2.06 (11.4%) |
| 2019 | $21.4m (-90.6%) | $58.5m (13.2%) | $-17.1m (-131.1%) | 273.0% (1098.7%) | $2.26 (9.7%) |
| 2020 | $284.7m (1227.7%) | $64.0m (9.4%) | $-13.3m (22.2%) | 22.5% (-91.8%) | $2.56 (13.3%) |
| 2021 | $34.2m (-88.0%) | $113.0m (76.5%) | $-12.1m (9.5%) | 330.7% (1370.7%) | $4.44 (73.4%) |
| 2022 | $39.2m (14.8%) | $102.3m (-9.4%) | $-6.9m (43.1%) | 260.9% (-21.1%) | $4.06 (-8.6%) |
| 2023 | $45.4m (15.8%) | $41.1m (-59.8%) | $-18.3m (-167.4%) | 90.4% (-65.3%) | $1.63 (-59.9%) |
| 2024 | $50.5m (11.2%) | $16.1m (-60.8%) | $-57.5m (-213.2%) | 31.9% (-64.8%) | $0.55 (-66.3%) |
| 2025 | $63.9m (26.6%) | $25.4m (57.6%) | $-10.5m (81.8%) | 39.7% (24.5%) | $0.94 (70.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.