Discounted Cash Flow
Timken Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.7b | $152.6m | $264.5m | 5.7% | $1.94 |
| 2017 | $3.0b (12.5%) | $203.4m (33.3%) | $132.1m (-50.1%) | 6.8% (18.5%) | $2.62 (35.1%) |
| 2018 | $3.6b (19.2%) | $302.8m (48.9%) | $219.9m (66.5%) | 8.5% (24.9%) | $3.93 (50.0%) |
| 2019 | $3.8b (5.8%) | $362.1m (19.6%) | $409.5m (86.2%) | 9.6% (13.0%) | $4.78 (21.6%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-7.3%) | $284.5m (-21.4%) | $456.0m (11.4%) | 8.1% (-15.2%) | $3.78 (-20.9%) |
| 2021 | $4.1b (17.6%) | $369.1m (29.7%) | $239.0m (-47.6%) | 8.9% (10.3%) | $4.86 (28.6%) |
| 2022 | $4.5b (8.8%) | $407.4m (10.4%) | $285.4m (19.4%) | 9.1% (1.4%) | $5.54 (14.0%) |
| 2023 | $4.8b (6.1%) | $394.1m (-3.3%) | $357.4m (25.2%) | 8.3% (-8.8%) | $5.52 (-0.4%) |
| 2024 | $4.6b (-4.1%) | $352.7m (-10.5%) | $305.7m (-14.5%) | 7.7% (-6.7%) | $5.02 (-9.1%) |
| 2025 | $4.6b (0.2%) | $288.4m (-18.2%) | $406.1m (32.8%) | 6.3% (-18.4%) | $4.13 (-17.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.