Discounted Cash Flow
Toyota Motor Corp./ ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $24.7t | $11.5b | $6.9b | 0.0% | $605.47 |
| 2018 | $27.4t (10.9%) | $15.6b (36.2%) | $18.3b (166.2%) | 0.1% (22.8%) | $842.00 (39.1%) |
| 2019 | $30.2t (10.2%) | $11.8b (-24.5%) | $14.5b (-20.7%) | 0.0% (-31.5%) | $650.55 (-22.7%) |
| 2020 | $29.9t (-1.0%) | $13.0b (10.3%) | $13.7b (-5.7%) | 0.0% (11.4%) | $735.61 (13.1%) |
| 2021 | $27.2t (-9.1%) | $14.1b (8.1%) | $2.8b (-79.3%) | 0.1% (18.9%) | $803.23 (9.2%) |
| 2022 | $31.4t (15.3%) | $17.9b (26.9%) | $9.0b (217.9%) | 0.1% (10.1%) | $205.23 (-74.4%) |
| 2023 | $37.2t (18.4%) | $15.4b (-14.0%) | $6.6b (-27.0%) | 0.0% (-27.4%) | $179.47 (-12.6%) |
| 2024 | $45.1t (21.4%) | $31.0b (101.7%) | $8.4b (27.8%) | 0.1% (66.2%) | $365.94 (103.9%) |
| 2025 | $48.0t (6.5%) | $29.9b (-3.6%) | $4.4b (-47.7%) | 0.1% (-9.5%) | $359.56 (-1.7%) |
| 2026 | $50.7t (5.5%) | $25.0b (-16.4%) | $17.0b (286.6%) | 0.0% (-20.7%) | $295.25 (-17.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.