Discounted Cash Flow

Tencent Music Entertainment Group ADR

TME · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.4b $143.0m $832.0m 3.3%
2017 $11.0b (151.8%) $1.3b (827.3%) $2.4b (191.5%) 12.1% (268.3%)
2018 $19.0b (72.9%) $1.8b (38.2%) $5.5b (126.8%) 9.7% (-20.0%)
2019 $25.4b (34.0%) $4.0b (117.2%) $6.1b (11.0%) 15.7% (62.2%)
2020 $29.2b (14.6%) $4.2b (4.3%) $4.8b (-22.2%) 14.3% (-9.0%)
2021 $31.2b (7.2%) $3.0b (-27.1%) $1.8b (-63.0%) 9.7% (-32.0%)
2022 $28.3b (-9.3%) $3.7b (21.4%) $4.4b (147.4%) 13.0% (33.8%)
2023 $27.8b (-2.1%) $4.9b (33.8%) $6.1b (39.8%) 17.7% (36.6%)
2024 $28.4b (2.3%) $6.6b (35.0%) $8.3b (37.2%) 23.4% (32.0%)
2025 $32.9b (15.8%) $15.2b (128.8%) $9.9b (18.9%) 46.2% (97.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model