Discounted Cash Flow

Tompkins Financial Corp.

TMP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $249.4m $59.3m $74.8m 23.8% $3.94
2017 $270.5m (8.4%) $52.5m (-11.5%) $50.8m (-32.1%) 19.4% (-18.4%) $3.46 (-12.2%)
2018 $66.0m (-75.6%) $82.3m (56.8%) $89.2m (75.6%) 124.8% (543.0%) $5.39 (55.8%)
2019 $67.6m (2.4%) $81.7m (-0.7%) $95.6m (7.2%) 121.0% (-3.1%) $5.39 (0.0%)
2020 $65.7m (-2.7%) $77.6m (-5.1%) $96.8m (1.3%) 118.0% (-2.4%) $5.22 (-3.2%)
2021 $72.6m (10.4%) $89.3m (15.0%) $116.4m (20.2%) 123.0% (4.2%) $6.08 (16.5%)
2022 $74.0m (1.9%) $85.0m (-4.7%) $95.2m (-18.3%) 114.9% (-6.5%) $5.92 (-2.6%)
2023 $75.0m (1.4%) $9.5m (-88.8%) $82.2m (-13.6%) 12.7% (-89.0%) $0.66 (-88.9%)
2024 $79.3m (5.7%) $70.8m (645.4%) $88.8m (7.9%) 89.3% (605.0%) $4.98 (654.5%)
2025 $75.7m (-4.5%) $161.1m (127.3%) $31.9m (-64.0%) 212.7% (138.1%) $11.30 (126.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model