Discounted Cash Flow

Travel & Leisure Co.

TNL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $5.6b $611.0m $782.0m 10.9% $5.56
2017 $5.1b (-9.3%) $871.0m (42.6%) $834.0m (6.6%) 17.2% (57.2%) $8.46 (52.2%)
2018 $3.9b (-22.6%) $672.0m (-22.8%) $343.0m (-58.9%) 17.1% (-0.4%) $6.80 (-19.6%)
2019 $4.0b (2.8%) $507.0m (-24.6%) $344.0m (0.3%) 12.5% (-26.6%) $5.50 (-19.1%)
2020 $2.2b (-46.6%) $-255.0m (-150.3%) $305.0m (-11.3%) -11.8% (-194.1%) $-2.97 (-154.0%)
2021 $3.1b (45.1%) $308.0m (220.8%) $511.0m (67.5%) 9.8% (183.2%) $3.56 (219.9%)
2022 $3.6b (13.8%) $357.0m (15.9%) $390.0m (-23.7%) 10.0% (1.8%) $4.28 (20.2%)
2023 $3.8b (5.1%) $396.0m (10.9%) $276.0m (-29.2%) 10.6% (5.5%) $5.31 (24.1%)
2024 $3.9b (3.0%) $411.0m (3.8%) $383.0m (38.8%) 10.6% (0.7%) $5.87 (10.5%)
2025 $4.0b (4.1%) $230.0m (-44.0%) $523.0m (36.6%) 5.7% (-46.2%) $3.51 (-40.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model