Discounted Cash Flow
Turning Point Brands, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $206.2m | $26.9m | $5.9m | 13.1% | $1.63 |
| 2017 | $285.8m (38.6%) | $20.2m (-24.9%) | $27.7m (367.3%) | 7.1% (-45.8%) | $1.06 (-35.0%) |
| 2018 | $332.7m (16.4%) | $25.3m (25.1%) | $10.8m (-60.9%) | 7.6% (7.5%) | $1.31 (23.6%) |
| 2019 | $362.0m (8.8%) | $13.8m (-45.5%) | $33.0m (204.7%) | 3.8% (-49.9%) | $0.70 (-46.6%) |
| 2020 | $405.1m (11.9%) | $33.0m (139.9%) | $37.5m (13.8%) | 8.2% (114.3%) | $1.70 (142.9%) |
| 2021 | $445.5m (10.0%) | $52.1m (57.6%) | $62.1m (65.3%) | 11.7% (43.3%) | $2.75 (61.8%) |
| 2022 | $415.0m (-6.8%) | $11.6m (-77.6%) | $22.6m (-63.6%) | 2.8% (-76.0%) | $0.65 (-76.4%) |
| 2023 | $405.4m (-2.3%) | $38.5m (230.4%) | $61.2m (170.8%) | 9.5% (238.2%) | $2.19 (236.9%) |
| 2024 | $360.7m (-11.0%) | $39.8m (3.5%) | $62.4m (2.1%) | 11.0% (16.3%) | $2.24 (2.3%) |
| 2025 | $463.1m (28.4%) | $58.2m (46.1%) | $43.8m (-29.8%) | 12.6% (13.8%) | $3.18 (42.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.