Discounted Cash Flow
Texas Pacific Land Corp.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $300.2m | $209.7m | $195.4m | 69.9% | $26.93 |
| 2019 | $490.5m (63.4%) | $318.7m (52.0%) | $342.8m (75.4%) | 65.0% (-7.0%) | $41.09 (52.6%) |
| 2020 | $302.6m (-38.3%) | $176.0m (-44.8%) | $207.0m (-39.6%) | 58.2% (-10.5%) | $22.70 (-44.8%) |
| 2021 | $451.0m (49.1%) | $270.0m (53.4%) | $264.3m (27.7%) | 59.9% (2.9%) | $34.83 (53.4%) |
| 2022 | $667.4m (48.0%) | $446.4m (65.3%) | $446.9m (69.1%) | 66.9% (11.7%) | $57.80 (65.9%) |
| 2023 | $631.6m (-5.4%) | $405.6m (-9.1%) | $417.9m (-6.5%) | 64.2% (-4.0%) | $52.81 (-8.6%) |
| 2024 | $705.8m (11.8%) | $454.0m (11.9%) | $490.4m (17.4%) | 64.3% (0.1%) | $19.75 (-62.6%) |
| 2025 | $798.2m (13.1%) | $481.4m (6.0%) | $539.5m (10.0%) | 60.3% (-6.2%) | $6.98 (-64.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.