Discounted Cash Flow
Trex Co. Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $479.6m | $67.8m | $70.7m | 14.1% | $2.31 |
| 2017 | $565.2m (17.8%) | $95.1m (40.2%) | $86.8m (22.7%) | 16.8% (19.0%) | $3.24 (40.3%) |
| 2018 | $684.2m (21.1%) | $134.6m (41.5%) | $104.3m (20.1%) | 19.7% (16.8%) | $2.29 (-29.3%) |
| 2019 | $745.3m (8.9%) | $144.7m (7.6%) | $89.1m (-14.6%) | 19.4% (-1.3%) | $2.48 (8.3%) |
| 2020 | $880.8m (18.2%) | $175.6m (21.3%) | $14.5m (-83.8%) | 19.9% (2.7%) | $1.52 (-38.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (35.9%) | $208.7m (18.8%) | $98.7m (581.8%) | 17.4% (-12.5%) | $1.81 (19.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.1b (-7.6%) | $184.6m (-11.6%) | $40.0m (-59.5%) | 16.7% (-4.3%) | $1.65 (-8.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.1b (-1.0%) | $205.4m (11.2%) | $223.3m (458.4%) | 18.8% (12.4%) | $1.89 (14.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.2b (5.2%) | $226.4m (10.2%) | $-88.4m (-139.6%) | 19.7% (4.8%) | $2.09 (10.6%) |
| 2025 | $1.2b (2.0%) | $190.4m (-15.9%) | $134.5m (252.2%) | 16.2% (-17.5%) | $1.78 (-14.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.