Discounted Cash Flow
Trinity Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.6b | $343.6m | $955.9m | 7.5% | $2.25 |
| 2017 | $3.7b (-20.2%) | $702.5m (104.5%) | $657.2m (-31.2%) | 19.2% (156.1%) | $4.62 (105.3%) |
| 2018 | $2.5b (-31.5%) | $159.3m (-77.3%) | $341.8m (-48.0%) | 6.3% (-66.9%) | $1.09 (-76.4%) |
| 2019 | $3.0b (19.8%) | $137.6m (-13.6%) | $296.6m (-13.2%) | 4.6% (-27.9%) | $1.09 (0.0%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-33.5%) | $-147.3m (-207.0%) | $549.4m (85.2%) | -7.4% (-260.9%) | $-1.27 (-216.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.5b (-24.2%) | $182.0m (223.6%) | $588.2m (7.1%) | 12.0% (263.0%) | $1.79 (240.9%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (30.4%) | $60.1m (-67.0%) | $-50.8m (-108.6%) | 3.0% (-74.7%) | $0.73 (-59.2%) |
| 2023 | $3.0b (50.9%) | $106.0m (76.4%) | $254.3m (600.6%) | 3.6% (16.9%) | $1.31 (79.5%) |
| 2024 | $3.1b (3.2%) | $138.4m (30.6%) | $520.0m (104.5%) | 4.5% (26.5%) | $1.69 (29.0%) |
| 2025 | $2.2b (-30.0%) | $253.1m (82.9%) | $314.1m (-39.6%) | 11.7% (161.1%) | $3.13 (85.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.