Discounted Cash Flow

Transcat Inc.

TRNS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $143.9m $4.5m $2.3m 3.1% $0.65
2018 $155.1m (7.8%) $5.9m (31.0%) $4.0m (74.0%) 3.8% (21.5%) $0.83 (27.7%)
2019 $160.9m (3.7%) $7.1m (20.7%) $5.6m (39.4%) 4.4% (16.3%) $0.99 (19.3%)
2020 $173.1m (7.6%) $8.1m (12.9%) $5.0m (-10.4%) 4.7% (4.9%) $1.10 (11.1%)
2021 $173.3m (0.1%) $7.8m (-3.4%) $17.0m (241.7%) 4.5% (-3.6%) $1.05 (-4.5%)
2022 $205.0m (18.2%) $11.4m (46.1%) $7.5m (-56.1%) 5.6% (23.5%) $1.52 (44.8%)
2023 $230.6m (12.5%) $10.7m (-6.1%) $7.5m (1.0%) 4.6% (-16.5%) $1.42 (-6.6%)
2024 $259.5m (12.5%) $13.6m (27.7%) $19.3m (156.5%) 5.3% (13.5%) $1.66 (16.9%)
2025 $278.4m (7.3%) $14.5m (6.4%) $25.8m (33.4%) 5.2% (-0.9%) $1.58 (-4.8%)
2026 $331.9m (19.2%) $5.4m (-63.0%) $19.6m (-24.2%) 1.6% (-68.9%) $0.58 (-63.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model