Discounted Cash Flow

Price T Rowe Group Inc.

TROW · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.2b $1.2b $22.2m 28.8% $4.85
2017 $4.8b (13.5%) $1.5b (23.3%) $43.4m (95.5%) 31.2% (8.6%) $6.07 (25.2%)
2018 $5.4b (12.1%) $1.8b (22.7%) $1.5b (3244.2%) 34.2% (9.4%) $7.41 (22.1%)
2019 $5.6b (4.6%) $2.1b (16.0%) $1.3b (-9.2%) 37.9% (10.9%) $8.82 (19.0%)
2020 $6.2b (10.5%) $2.4b (11.3%) $1.7b (29.3%) 38.2% (0.8%) $10.08 (14.3%)
2021 $7.7b (23.6%) $3.1b (29.9%) $3.2b (88.5%) 40.2% (5.1%) $13.25 (31.4%)
2022 $6.5b (-15.4%) $1.6b (-49.5%) $2.1b (-34.0%) 24.0% (-40.2%) $6.73 (-49.2%)
2023 $6.5b (-0.4%) $1.8b (14.8%) $911.2m (-57.1%) 27.7% (15.3%) $7.78 (15.6%)
2024 $7.1b (9.8%) $2.1b (17.4%) $1.3b (38.5%) 29.6% (6.9%) $9.18 (18.0%)
2025 $7.3b (3.1%) $2.1b (-0.6%) $1.5b (17.2%) 28.5% (-3.6%) $9.26 (0.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model