Discounted Cash Flow
Tractor Supply Co. /De/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.8b | $437.1m | $413.0m | 6.4% | $3.29 |
| 2017 | $7.3b (7.0%) | $422.6m (-3.3%) | $381.0m (-7.7%) | 5.8% (-9.7%) | $3.31 (0.6%) |
| 2018 | $7.9b (9.0%) | $532.4m (26.0%) | $415.9m (9.1%) | 6.7% (15.5%) | $4.34 (31.1%) |
| 2019 | $8.4b (5.6%) | $562.4m (5.6%) | $594.3m (42.9%) | 6.7% (0.1%) | $4.70 (8.3%) |
| 2020 | $10.6b (27.2%) | $749.0m (33.2%) | $1.1b (85.2%) | 7.1% (4.7%) | $6.44 (37.0%) |
| 2021 | $12.7b (19.9%) | $997.1m (33.1%) | $510.3m (-53.6%) | 7.8% (11.1%) | $8.69 (34.9%) |
| 2022 | $14.2b (11.6%) | $1.1b (9.2%) | $583.6m (14.4%) | 7.7% (-2.1%) | $9.78 (12.5%) |
| 2023 | $14.6b (2.5%) | $1.1b (1.7%) | $580.1m (-0.6%) | 7.6% (-0.8%) | $10.15 (3.8%) |
| 2024 | $14.9b (2.2%) | $1.1b (-0.5%) | $636.8m (9.8%) | 7.4% (-2.7%) | $2.05 (-79.8%) |
| 2025 | $15.5b (4.3%) | $1.1b (-0.5%) | $740.5m (16.3%) | 7.1% (-4.6%) | $2.07 (1.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.