Discounted Cash Flow
Tesla, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.0b | $-674.9m | $-1.4b | -9.6% | $-4.68 |
| 2017 | $11.8b (68.0%) | $-2.0b (-190.6%) | $-3.5b (-147.4%) | -16.7% (-73.0%) | $-11.83 (-152.8%) |
| 2018 | $21.5b (82.5%) | $-976.1m (50.2%) | $-2.9m (99.9%) | -4.5% (72.7%) | $-5.72 (51.6%) |
| 2019 | $24.6b (14.5%) | $-862.0m (11.7%) | $1.1b (36992.5%) | -3.5% (22.9%) | $-4.92 (14.0%) |
| 2020 | $31.5b (28.3%) | $721.0m (183.6%) | $2.8b (158.4%) | 2.3% (165.2%) | $0.74 (115.0%) |
| 2021 | $53.8b (70.7%) | $5.5b (665.5%) | $5.0b (80.0%) | 10.3% (348.5%) | $5.60 (656.8%) |
| 2022 | $81.5b (51.4%) | $12.6b (127.5%) | $8.9b (77.2%) | 15.4% (50.3%) | $4.02 (-28.2%) |
| 2023 | $96.8b (18.8%) | $15.0b (19.4%) | $-5.9b (-165.9%) | 15.5% (0.5%) | $4.73 (17.7%) |
| 2024 | $97.7b (0.9%) | $7.1b (-52.7%) | $-21.0b (-259.2%) | 7.3% (-53.2%) | $2.23 (-52.9%) |
| 2025 | $94.8b (-2.9%) | $3.8b (-46.5%) | $-22.4b (-6.3%) | 4.0% (-44.9%) | $1.18 (-47.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.