Discounted Cash Flow
Twilio Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $277.3m | $-41.3m | $-4.1m | -14.9% | — |
| 2017 | $399.0m (43.9%) | $-63.7m (-54.2%) | $-12.5m (-206.3%) | -16.0% (-7.2%) | — |
| 2018 | $650.1m (62.9%) | $-121.9m (-91.4%) | $3.3m (126.5%) | -18.8% (-17.5%) | — |
| 2019 | $1.1b (74.5%) | $-307.1m (-151.8%) | $-2.0b (-61167.1%) | -27.1% (-44.3%) | $-2.36 |
| 2020 | $1.8b (55.3%) | $-491.0m (-59.9%) | $6.8m (100.3%) | -27.9% (-3.0%) | $-3.35 (-41.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.8b (61.3%) | $-949.9m (-93.5%) | $-104.2m (-1622.0%) | -33.4% (-19.9%) | $-5.45 (-62.7%) |
| 2022 | $3.8b (34.6%) | $-1.3b (-32.2%) | $-334.6m (-220.9%) | -32.8% (1.8%) | $-6.86 (-25.9%) |
| 2023 | $4.2b (8.6%) | $-1.0b (19.2%) | $363.5m (208.7%) | -24.4% (25.5%) | $-5.54 (19.2%) |
| 2024 | $4.5b (7.3%) | $-109.4m (89.2%) | $657.5m (80.9%) | -2.5% (90.0%) | $-0.66 (88.1%) |
| 2025 | $5.1b (13.7%) | $33.8m (130.9%) | $945.4m (43.8%) | 0.7% (127.2%) | $0.22 (133.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.