Discounted Cash Flow

Texas Instruments Inc.

TXN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $13.4b $3.6b $4.1b 26.9% $3.54
2017 $15.0b (11.9%) $3.7b (2.4%) $4.7b (14.3%) 24.6% (-8.5%) $3.68 (4.0%)
2018 $15.8b (5.5%) $5.6b (51.5%) $6.1b (29.8%) 35.4% (43.6%) $5.71 (55.2%)
2019 $14.4b (-8.9%) $5.0b (-10.1%) $5.8b (-4.2%) 34.9% (-1.3%) $5.33 (-6.7%)
2020 $14.5b (0.5%) $5.6b (11.5%) $5.5b (-5.4%) 38.7% (10.9%) $6.05 (13.5%)
2021 $18.3b (26.9%) $7.8b (38.9%) $6.3b (14.6%) 42.4% (9.5%) $8.38 (38.5%)
2022 $20.0b (9.2%) $8.7b (12.6%) $5.9b (-5.9%) 43.7% (3.1%) $9.51 (13.5%)
2023 $17.5b (-12.5%) $6.5b (-25.6%) $1.3b (-77.2%) 37.2% (-14.9%) $7.13 (-25.0%)
2024 $15.6b (-10.7%) $4.8b (-26.3%) $1.5b (11.0%) 30.7% (-17.4%) $5.24 (-26.5%)
2025 $17.7b (13.0%) $5.0b (4.2%) $2.6b (73.8%) 28.3% (-7.8%) $5.47 (4.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model