Discounted Cash Flow
Txnm Energy Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $116.8m | $293.2m | 8.6% | $1.47 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (6.0%) | $79.9m (-31.6%) | $524.5m (78.9%) | 5.5% (-35.5%) | $1.00 (-32.0%) |
| 2018 | $1.4b (-5.8%) | $101.3m (26.8%) | $428.2m (-18.3%) | 7.4% (34.6%) | $1.07 (7.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.4b (1.2%) | $92.1m (-9.0%) | $503.2m (17.5%) | 6.7% (-10.1%) | $0.97 (-9.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.5b (6.7%) | $207.5m (125.2%) | $485.7m (-3.5%) | 14.1% (111.0%) | $2.16 (122.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (6.8%) | $211.8m (2.1%) | $547.9m (12.8%) | 13.5% (-4.4%) | $2.28 (5.6%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (43.4%) | $185.2m (-12.6%) | $-345.3m (-163.0%) | 8.2% (-39.0%) | $1.97 (-13.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.9b (-14.6%) | $106.9m (-42.3%) | $-524.6m (-51.9%) | 5.6% (-32.4%) | $1.02 (-48.2%) |
| 2024 | $2.0b (2.4%) | $258.7m (142.1%) | $-738.9m (-40.8%) | 13.1% (136.3%) | $2.67 (161.8%) |
| 2025 | $2.2b (9.7%) | $169.8m (-34.4%) | $-611.4m (17.2%) | 7.9% (-40.1%) | $1.49 (-44.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.