Discounted Cash Flow
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.0b | $115.6m | $92.3m | 5.8% | $1.64 |
| 2017 | $2.2b (11.5%) | $131.5m (13.8%) | $124.7m (35.1%) | 5.9% (2.0%) | $1.85 (12.8%) |
| 2018 | $2.5b (10.7%) | $158.2m (20.3%) | $196.9m (57.8%) | 6.4% (8.7%) | $2.21 (19.5%) |
| 2019 | $2.8b (12.2%) | $174.5m (10.3%) | $160.0m (-18.8%) | 6.3% (-1.7%) | $2.47 (11.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (-13.0%) | $31.3m (-82.1%) | $76.0m (-52.5%) | 1.3% (-79.4%) | $0.45 (-81.8%) |
| 2021 | $3.5b (44.4%) | $245.3m (684.8%) | $268.1m (252.6%) | 7.1% (443.3%) | $3.52 (682.2%) |
| 2022 | $4.0b (15.9%) | $269.8m (10.0%) | $265.6m (-0.9%) | 6.7% (-5.1%) | $3.99 (13.4%) |
| 2023 | $4.6b (15.4%) | $304.9m (13.0%) | $217.9m (-17.9%) | 6.6% (-2.1%) | $4.56 (14.3%) |
| 2024 | $5.4b (16.0%) | $433.6m (42.2%) | $399.3m (83.2%) | 8.1% (22.6%) | $6.50 (42.5%) |
| 2025 | $5.9b (9.4%) | $405.6m (-6.5%) | $342.1m (-14.3%) | 6.9% (-14.5%) | $6.11 (-6.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.