Discounted Cash Flow

CVR Partners, L.P. LP

UAN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $356.3m $-26.9m $21.7m -7.6% $-0.26
2017 $330.8m (-7.2%) $-72.8m (-170.2%) $-4.2m (-119.1%) -22.0% (-191.0%) $-0.64 (-146.2%)
2018 $351.1m (6.1%) $-50.0m (31.3%) $12.4m (399.0%) -14.2% (35.2%) $0.00 (100.0%)
2019 $404.2m (15.1%) $-35.0m (30.1%) $20.5m (65.0%) -8.7% (39.3%) $0.40
2020 $350.0m (-13.4%) $-98.2m (-180.8%) $1.1m (-94.4%) -28.1% (-224.3%) $0.00 (-100.0%)
2021 $532.6m (52.2%) $78.2m (179.6%) $168.1m (14622.5%) 14.7% (152.3%) $7.31
2022 $835.6m (56.9%) $286.8m (267.0%) $256.8m (52.7%) 34.3% (133.9%) $27.07 (270.3%)
2023 $681.5m (-18.4%) $172.4m (-39.9%) $219.3m (-14.6%) 25.3% (-26.3%) $16.31 (-39.7%)
2024 $525.3m (-22.9%) $60.9m (-64.7%) $113.5m (-48.3%) 11.6% (-54.2%) $5.76 (-64.7%)
2025 $606.0m (15.4%) $98.7m (62.0%) $98.8m (-12.9%) 16.3% (40.4%) $9.33 (62.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model